Latest PPP: Deeds leads, McAuliffe and Moran stagnant
By Joel McDonald • Jun 2nd, 2009 • Category: Blog, Campaigns & ElectionsThe latest polling from Public Policy Polling shows Creigh Deeds in the lead with 27%, McAuliffe with 24%, and Moran with 22%. It’s an effective tie between the three candidates running for the Democratic nomination. With the primary vote happening on June 9th, no one can be certain as to the outcome.
Creigh Deeds: I noticed in April that Deeds was building his favorables, but the votes didn’t seem to be following. I made the argument that he didn’t have enough time to swing voters his way for the primary. With 45% of those polled being undecided at that time, my argument that Deeds drop out and endorse was presumptuous, erroneous, and just plain stupid. Deeds has more than proven that his campaign could be challenge to both Brian Moran and Terry McAuliffe. In fact, since polling began, Deeds has pulled 59% of the undecideds into his column and manages to have an impressive 93% of those unsure about Deeds become those with a favorable opinion of the candidate. This combined with a great endorsement from the Washington Post, and television ads that are a cut above those of his opponents, is obviously leading to the current surge of support that we are seeing reported in the polls.
Terry McAuliffe: The $4 million candidate has made a splash in Virginia, but his buying power mainly comes from out of state (the exact opposite of both Creigh Deeds and Brian Moran). His ads have been consistent, but his background and personality are divisive. I think people tend to either love or hate Terry McAuliffe’s being in this race. A win for Terry McAuliffe is a win for big money politics, showing that elections can indeed be bought.
Brian Moran: Love the candidate, hate the campaign. This basically sums up how many have viewed Brian Moran and his campaign. I get the feeling that Moran’s campaign has stalled out with a core group of supporters, mainly in Northern Virginia. With Deeds surging, it may be difficult for Moran to pick up the votes needed for a win.
Related posts:
- Deeds gaining ground, Moran and McAuliffe stalled
- Moran and Wagner lead in latest polling
- Latest primary polling showing Moran’s precarious position
- Deeds can win by dropping out
- The Netroots Debate: Hitting McAuliffe
Joel McDonald has been following Virginia politics since February 2008, starting with the Democratic Presidential Primary. Since then, he has been the primary new media contact for progressive district and statewide campaigns.
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